92% season-shape match
Jordan Walker
Why he matters right now
Jordan Walker is top-10 in the majors in RBI, hits and doubles (and 2 other boards)
He is 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 99 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 99 99 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 155 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 586 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Colorado Rockies.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 99 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 155 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Jordan Walker has already passed his career best in RBI.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 52 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 3 of 3rbi chases 99 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 114projected, against 125 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
What to watch next
Jordan Walker faces a right-hander in Ryan Feltner. He is hitting .288 with 19 home runs in 393 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 393 | .288 | 19 | 77 | .827 |
| vs LHP | 143 | .294 | 9 | 22 | .915 |
| Home | 266 | .282 | 10 | 31 | .781 |
| Away | 270 | .296 | 18 | 68 | .919 |
| Day | 213 | .263 | 14 | 45 | .843 |
| Night | 323 | .307 | 14 | 54 | .855 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .289 | .289 | .762 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .289 | .289 | 1.000 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .289 | .289 | 1.150 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .289 | .289 | 1.200 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .289 | .289 | 1.663 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 28 | 32 | 22 in 21 g · 1 per 3.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 28 | 32 | 32 in 21 g · 1 per 2.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 28 | 32 | 34 in 21 g · 1 per 2.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 28 | 32 | 42 in 21 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 28 | 32 | 45 in 21 g · 1 per 1.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 155 | 178 | 45 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 155 | 178 | 70 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 155 | 178 | 95 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 155 | 178 | 107 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 18 | 21 | 32 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 18 | 21 | 62 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 18 | 21 | 82 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 18 | 21 | 112 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 37 | 18 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 37 | 28 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 37 | 35 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 99 | 114 | 26 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 99 | 114 | 51 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 99 | 114 | 76 in 21 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 99 | 114 | 92 in 21 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 47.780 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 44.370 after regressing toward the league's 30.110 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 31.2, against a straight team-game pace of 32. Exact beta-binomial over 87 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=845); median finish 31. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers | L 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .289 |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 8-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .288 |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 13-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .288 |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .288 |
| 2026-08-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .285 |
| 2026-08-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .288 |
| 2026-08-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 4-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .290 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles | W 7-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .286 |
| 2026-08-26 | Baltimore Orioles | L 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .285 |
| 2026-08-25 | Baltimore Orioles | L 1-13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 141 team games; 60 in 2001