Jordan Walker headshot

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals · RF · through 2026-09-03

Elite season

Why he matters right now

Jordan Walker is top-10 in the majors in RBI, hits and doubles (and 2 other boards)

He is 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.

The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 99 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  • 99 99 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 155 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

The honest caveat

It is still a partial season — 586 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.

What to watch next

Next up: at Colorado Rockies.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 3rd in RBI at 99, 5th in hits at 155, 5th in doubles at 32 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  2. 99 RBI, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 28 home runs, past his previous best of 16 in 2023; 89 runs, past his previous best of 51 in 2023; 155 hits, past his previous best of 116 in 2023 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Jordan Walker has already passed his career best in RBI.

The evidence

Tracked on Live Chases

The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →

What changed last night

1-for-1 L 2-3 vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2026-09-03 carries a .289 average into today

What to watch next

at Colorado Rockies Coors Field · 8:40 p.m. ET Facing Ryan Feltner

Jordan Walker faces a right-hander in Ryan Feltner. He is hitting .288 with 19 home runs in 393 at-bats against right-handers this season.

Situational splits

SplitABAVGHRRBIOPS
vs RHP 393 .288 1977 .827
vs LHP 143 .294 922 .915
Home 266 .282 1031 .781
Away 270 .296 1868 .919
Day 213 .263 1445 .843
Night 323 .307 1454 .855

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

137G
536AB
155H
.289AVG
28HR
99RBI
18SB
322B
03B
.851OPS

Chasing .400

.289Current AVG
100Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
100-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.150Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (92-for-80)

Status: IMPOSSIBLE

Milestone tracker

ChaseTargetCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
.350 AVG .350 .289 .289 .762 ROS EXTREME
.380 AVG .380 .289 .289 1.000 ROS EXTREME
.400 AVG .400 .289 .289 1.150 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.406 AVG .406 .289 .289 1.200 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.466 AVG .466 .289 .289 1.663 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
50 HR 50 28 32 22 in 21 g · 1 per 3.6 AB EXTREME
60 HR 60 28 32 32 in 21 g · 1 per 2.5 AB EXTREME
62 HR 62 28 32 34 in 21 g · 1 per 2.3 AB EXTREME
70 HR 70 28 32 42 in 21 g · 1 per 1.9 AB EXTREME
73 HR 73 28 32 45 in 21 g · 1 per 1.8 AB EXTREME
200 Hits 200 155 178 45 in 21 g EXTREME
225 Hits 225 155 178 70 in 21 g EXTREME
250 Hits 250 155 178 95 in 21 g EXTREME
262 Hits 262 155 178 107 in 21 g EXTREME
50 SB 50 18 21 32 in 21 g EXTREME
80 SB 80 18 21 62 in 21 g EXTREME
100 SB 100 18 21 82 in 21 g EXTREME
130 SB 130 18 21 112 in 21 g EXTREME
50 2B 50 32 37 18 in 21 g EXTREME
60 2B 60 32 37 28 in 21 g EXTREME
67 2B 67 32 37 35 in 21 g EXTREME
20 3B 20 0 0 20 in 21 g EXTREME
25 3B 25 0 0 25 in 21 g EXTREME
36 3B 36 0 0 36 in 21 g EXTREME
125 RBI 125 99 114 26 in 21 g EXTREME
150 RBI 150 99 114 51 in 21 g EXTREME
175 RBI 175 99 114 76 in 21 g EXTREME
191 RBI 191 99 114 92 in 21 g EXTREME

How likely is the finish?

0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs

His rate of 47.780 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 44.370 after regressing toward the league's 30.110 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 31.2, against a straight team-game pace of 32. Exact beta-binomial over 87 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.

Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons

36730162 gJudge 62Bonds 7328
Cumulative home runs by team game against straight 62 (Judge 2022) and 73 (Bonds 2001) paces. The homepage checkpoint card uses the exact game-by-game Retrosheet curves; these reference lines are straight-line paces.
0.2%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR

Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=845); median finish 31. Retrosheet.

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultABHHRRBIRSBBBKAVG
2026-09-03 Los Angeles Dodgers L 2-3 11 0 00 00 0 .289
2026-09-02 Los Angeles Dodgers W 8-6 31 0 00 00 2 .288
2026-09-01 Los Angeles Dodgers W 13-8 51 0 01 00 3 .288
2026-08-31 53 1 22 00 2 .288
2026-08-30 Pittsburgh Pirates L 4-5 40 0 00 00 2 .285
2026-08-29 Pittsburgh Pirates L 2-6 40 0 01 00 0 .288
2026-08-28 Pittsburgh Pirates W 4-1 43 0 02 00 1 .290
2026-08-27 Baltimore Orioles W 7-5 42 0 00 00 2 .286
2026-08-26 Baltimore Orioles L 7-8 41 0 11 01 1 .285
2026-08-25 Baltimore Orioles L 1-13 30 0 00 00 1 .285

Recent highlights

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Historical twinJavier Baez · 2018

92% season-shape match

HR checkpoint-32 vs Barry Bonds

Through 141 team games; 60 in 2001

Chase history

.275.304.33304-0409-03
Batting average, day by day
30568104-0409-03
Projected HR, day by day