86% season-shape match
Alec Burleson
Why he matters right now
Alec Burleson is top-10 in the majors in doubles and RBI
He is 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The case in 30 seconds
- 33 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 101 101 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 588 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Los Angeles Dodgers. 24 more to reach 125 RBI.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 101 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Alec Burleson has already passed his career best in RBI.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 54 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 2 of 3rbi chases 101 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 117projected, against 125 · near pace
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What to watch next
Alec Burleson faces a left-hander in Tarik Skubal. He is hitting .215 with 3 home runs in 172 at-bats against left-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 358 | .316 | 18 | 67 | .938 |
| vs LHP | 172 | .215 | 3 | 34 | .552 |
| Home | 265 | .260 | 7 | 46 | .737 |
| Away | 265 | .306 | 14 | 55 | .893 |
| Day | 219 | .311 | 7 | 48 | .826 |
| Night | 311 | .264 | 14 | 53 | .807 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .283 | .283 | .783 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .283 | .283 | 1.000 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .283 | .283 | 1.157 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .283 | .283 | 1.193 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .283 | .283 | 1.639 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 21 | 24 | 29 in 22 g · 1 per 2.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 21 | 24 | 39 in 22 g · 1 per 2.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 21 | 24 | 41 in 22 g · 1 per 2.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 21 | 24 | 49 in 22 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 21 | 24 | 52 in 22 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 150 | 174 | 50 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 150 | 174 | 75 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 150 | 174 | 100 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 150 | 174 | 112 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 4 | 5 | 46 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 4 | 5 | 76 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 4 | 5 | 96 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 4 | 5 | 126 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 38 | 17 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 38 | 27 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 38 | 34 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 101 | 117 | 24 in 22 g | NEAR PACE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 101 | 117 | 49 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 101 | 117 | 74 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 101 | 117 | 90 in 22 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 35.710 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 34.660 after regressing toward the league's 30.240 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 23.6, against a straight team-game pace of 24. Exact beta-binomial over 92 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1792); median finish 23. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 13-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
| 2026-08-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .288 |
| 2026-08-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .288 |
| 2026-08-28 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 4-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .290 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles | W 7-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 |
| 2026-08-26 | Baltimore Orioles | L 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .291 |
| 2026-08-25 | Baltimore Orioles | L 1-13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .291 |
| 2026-08-23 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .291 |
| 2026-08-22 | Philadelphia Phillies | L 3-12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .289 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 140 team games; 59 in 2001