Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · through 2026-09-02

Elite season

Why he matters right now

Alec Burleson is top-10 in the majors in doubles and RBI

He is 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.

The case in 30 seconds

  • 33 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  • 101 101 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

The honest caveat

It is still a partial season — 588 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.

What to watch next

Next up: at Los Angeles Dodgers. 24 more to reach 125 RBI.

Every claim above, with its source (2)
  1. 2nd in doubles at 33, 2nd in RBI at 101 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
  2. 101 RBI, past his previous best of 78 in 2024 year-by-year record, 3 prior seasons since 2023 (MLB Stats API, cached)

Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Alec Burleson has already passed his career best in RBI.

The evidence

Tracked on Live Chases

The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →

What to watch next

at Los Angeles Dodgers UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · 10:10 p.m. ET Facing Tarik Skubal

Alec Burleson faces a left-hander in Tarik Skubal. He is hitting .215 with 3 home runs in 172 at-bats against left-handers this season.

Situational splits

SplitABAVGHRRBIOPS
vs RHP 358 .316 1867 .938
vs LHP 172 .215 334 .552
Home 265 .260 746 .737
Away 265 .306 1455 .893
Day 219 .311 748 .826
Night 311 .264 1453 .807

2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.

140G
530AB
150H
.283AVG
21HR
101RBI
4SB
332B
13B
.815OPS

Chasing .400

.283Current AVG
104Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
102-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.157Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (96-for-83)

Status: IMPOSSIBLE

Milestone tracker

ChaseTargetCurrentPaceNeeded from hereStatus
.350 AVG .350 .283 .283 .783 ROS EXTREME
.380 AVG .380 .283 .283 1.000 ROS EXTREME
.400 AVG .400 .283 .283 1.157 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.406 AVG .406 .283 .283 1.193 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
.466 AVG .466 .283 .283 1.639 ROS IMPOSSIBLE
50 HR 50 21 24 29 in 22 g · 1 per 2.9 AB EXTREME
60 HR 60 21 24 39 in 22 g · 1 per 2.1 AB EXTREME
62 HR 62 21 24 41 in 22 g · 1 per 2.0 AB EXTREME
70 HR 70 21 24 49 in 22 g · 1 per 1.7 AB EXTREME
73 HR 73 21 24 52 in 22 g · 1 per 1.6 AB EXTREME
200 Hits 200 150 174 50 in 22 g EXTREME
225 Hits 225 150 174 75 in 22 g EXTREME
250 Hits 250 150 174 100 in 22 g EXTREME
262 Hits 262 150 174 112 in 22 g EXTREME
50 SB 50 4 5 46 in 22 g EXTREME
80 SB 80 4 5 76 in 22 g EXTREME
100 SB 100 4 5 96 in 22 g EXTREME
130 SB 130 4 5 126 in 22 g EXTREME
50 2B 50 33 38 17 in 22 g EXTREME
60 2B 60 33 38 27 in 22 g EXTREME
67 2B 67 33 38 34 in 22 g EXTREME
20 3B 20 1 1 19 in 22 g EXTREME
25 3B 25 1 1 24 in 22 g EXTREME
36 3B 36 1 1 35 in 22 g EXTREME
125 RBI 125 101 117 24 in 22 g NEAR PACE
150 RBI 150 101 117 49 in 22 g EXTREME
175 RBI 175 101 117 74 in 22 g EXTREME
191 RBI 191 101 117 90 in 22 g EXTREME

How likely is the finish?

0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs

His rate of 35.710 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 34.660 after regressing toward the league's 30.240 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 23.6, against a straight team-game pace of 24. Exact beta-binomial over 92 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.

Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons

36730162 gJudge 62Bonds 7321
Cumulative home runs by team game against straight 62 (Judge 2022) and 73 (Bonds 2001) paces. The homepage checkpoint card uses the exact game-by-game Retrosheet curves; these reference lines are straight-line paces.
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR

Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1792); median finish 23. Retrosheet.

Recent game log

Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.

DateOppResultABHHRRBIRSBBBKAVG
2026-09-01 Los Angeles Dodgers W 13-8 40 0 10 00 1 .283
2026-08-31 50 0 00 00 1 .285
2026-08-30 Pittsburgh Pirates L 4-5 41 0 10 11 0 .288
2026-08-29 Pittsburgh Pirates L 2-6 30 0 00 01 1 .288
2026-08-28 Pittsburgh Pirates W 4-1 40 0 00 00 1 .290
2026-08-27 Baltimore Orioles W 7-5 42 0 12 00 0 .292
2026-08-26 Baltimore Orioles L 7-8 51 0 21 00 1 .291
2026-08-25 Baltimore Orioles L 1-13 31 0 00 00 0 .291
2026-08-23 Philadelphia Phillies L 4-6 42 0 20 00 1 .291
2026-08-22 Philadelphia Phillies L 3-12 31 0 10 00 1 .289

Recent highlights

Lahman + Retrosheet context

How this season fits history

Historical twinKen Boyer · 1963

86% season-shape match

HR checkpoint-38 vs Barry Bonds

Through 140 team games; 59 in 2001

Chase history

.264.278.29304-0109-02
Batting average, day by day
21263104-0109-02
Projected HR, day by day