90% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Michael Harris II is top-10 in the majors in doubles and batting average
He is 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in batting average at .295 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 32 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in batting average at .295 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 24 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 536 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in batting average at .295 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Michael Harris II has already passed his career best in home runs.
The evidence
What changed last night
0-for-3
L 5-9 vs Washington Nationals · 2026-09-01
carries a .295 average into today
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 327 | .309 | 16 | 55 | .857 |
| vs LHP | 182 | .269 | 8 | 25 | .768 |
| Home | 249 | .289 | 11 | 45 | .808 |
| Away | 260 | .300 | 13 | 35 | .842 |
| Day | 155 | .258 | 5 | 21 | .701 |
| Night | 354 | .311 | 19 | 59 | .879 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
134G
509AB
150H
.295AVG
24HR
80RBI
10SB
322B
13B
.825OPS
Chasing .400
.295Current AVG
90Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
94-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.048Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (88-for-84)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .295 | .295 | .690 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .295 | .295 | .905 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .295 | .295 | 1.048 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .295 | .295 | 1.083 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .295 | .295 | 1.512 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 24 | 28 | 26 in 23 g · 1 per 3.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 24 | 28 | 36 in 23 g · 1 per 2.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 24 | 28 | 38 in 23 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 24 | 28 | 46 in 23 g · 1 per 1.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 24 | 28 | 49 in 23 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 150 | 175 | 50 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 150 | 175 | 75 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 150 | 175 | 100 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 150 | 175 | 112 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 10 | 12 | 40 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 10 | 12 | 70 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 10 | 12 | 90 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 10 | 12 | 120 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 37 | 18 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 37 | 28 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 37 | 35 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 80 | 93 | 45 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 80 | 93 | 70 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 80 | 93 | 95 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 80 | 93 | 111 in 23 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 44.780 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 41.790 after regressing toward the league's 30.360 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 27.1, against a straight team-game pace of 28. Exact beta-binomial over 89 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1333); median finish 26. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals | L 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants | L 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .296 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rockies | W 3-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies | W 2-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .296 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | W 6-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .294 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 1-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .292 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 6-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .291 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 4-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .293 |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers | W 4-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .294 |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers | L 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .294 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Michael Harris II's go-ahead two-run double2026-08-29 · Michael Harris II's go-ahead double in the 8th put the Braves ahead for good in a 2-1 win over the Rockies
▶︎
Michael Harris II's go-ahead single2026-08-09 · Michael Harris II's tiebreaking single in the 10th put the Braves ahead for good against the Yankees
▶︎
Michael Harris II's four-hit game2026-05-08 · Michael Harris II — a bench bat with 36 games played — went a perfect 4-for-4
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 139 team games; 59 in 2001