91% season-shape match
Michael Harris II
Why he matters right now
Michael Harris II is top-10 in the majors in doubles and batting average
He is 5th in doubles at 32, 9th in batting average at .295 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The case in 30 seconds
- 32 5th in doubles at 32, 9th in batting average at .295 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 24 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 536 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Philadelphia Phillies.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 5th in doubles at 32, 9th in batting average at .295 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 24 home runs, past his previous best of 20 in 2025 year-by-year record, 4 prior seasons since 2022 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Michael Harris II has already passed his career best in home runs.
The evidence
What to watch next
Michael Harris II faces a left-hander in Cristopher Sánchez. He is hitting .269 with 8 home runs in 182 at-bats against left-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 327 | .309 | 16 | 55 | .857 |
| vs LHP | 182 | .269 | 8 | 25 | .768 |
| Home | 249 | .289 | 11 | 45 | .808 |
| Away | 260 | .300 | 13 | 35 | .842 |
| Day | 155 | .258 | 5 | 21 | .701 |
| Night | 354 | .311 | 19 | 59 | .879 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
Chasing .400
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .295 | .295 | .713 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .295 | .295 | .925 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .295 | .295 | 1.075 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .295 | .295 | 1.125 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .295 | .295 | 1.562 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 24 | 28 | 26 in 22 g · 1 per 3.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 24 | 28 | 36 in 22 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 24 | 28 | 38 in 22 g · 1 per 2.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 24 | 28 | 46 in 22 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 24 | 28 | 49 in 22 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 150 | 174 | 50 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 150 | 174 | 75 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 150 | 174 | 100 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 150 | 174 | 112 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 10 | 12 | 40 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 10 | 12 | 70 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 10 | 12 | 90 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 10 | 12 | 120 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 37 | 18 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 37 | 28 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 37 | 35 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 1 | 1 | 19 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 1 | 1 | 24 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 1 | 1 | 35 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 80 | 93 | 45 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 80 | 93 | 70 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 80 | 93 | 95 in 22 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 80 | 93 | 111 in 22 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
His rate of 44.780 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 41.770 after regressing toward the league's 30.240 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 26.9, against a straight team-game pace of 28. Exact beta-binomial over 84 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1333); median finish 26. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals | L 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants | L 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .296 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rockies | W 3-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .295 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies | W 2-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .296 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | W 6-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .294 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 1-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .292 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 6-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .291 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 4-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .293 |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers | W 4-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .294 |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers | L 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .294 |
Recent highlights
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 140 team games; 59 in 2001