82% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Matt Olson has not missed a game in 922 of them
His consecutive-games streak stands at 922, 8th on the all-time list.
Same case as last night, moved numbers: the streak went from 921 to 922 since August 31.
The case in 30 seconds
- 922 consecutive games — 8th all-time iron-man ledger, game-log verified at seed
- 33 2nd in doubles at 33, 3rd in home runs at 37, 3rd in total bases at 282 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
The honest caveat
A milestone is arithmetic on a career, not a statement about this season. Reaching it depends on playing time between now and then, which nothing here predicts.
What to watch next
68 more to reach 350 TB.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 922 consecutive games — 8th all-time iron-man ledger, game-log verified at seed
- 2nd in doubles at 33, 3rd in home runs at 37, 3rd in total bases at 282 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Matt Olson is top-10 in the majors in doubles, home runs and total bases (and 1 other board).
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 61-1 Total Bases Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3total bases chases 282 record 457 — Babe Ruth, 1921 329projected, against 350 · near pace
- 60 Home Runs Significant · MILESTONE No. 3 of 3home runs chases 37 record 73 — Barry Bonds, 2001 43projected, against 50 · extreme
- 51-2 Doubles Notable · WATCH No. 2 of 3doubles chases 33 record 67 — Earl Webb, 1931 38projected, against 50 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
0-for-5
L 5-9 vs Washington Nationals · 2026-09-01
carries a .254 average into today
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 317 | .249 | 23 | 50 | .860 |
| vs LHP | 227 | .260 | 14 | 30 | .828 |
| Home | 275 | .265 | 17 | 37 | .849 |
| Away | 269 | .242 | 20 | 43 | .845 |
| Day | 169 | .225 | 8 | 21 | .731 |
| Night | 375 | .267 | 29 | 59 | .898 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
140G
544AB
138H
.254AVG
37HR
80RBI
4SB
332B
03B
.846OPS
Chasing .400
.254Current AVG
133Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
120-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.289Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (116-for-90)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .254 | .254 | .933 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .254 | .254 | 1.144 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .254 | .254 | 1.289 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .254 | .254 | 1.333 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .254 | .254 | 1.756 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 37 | 43 | 13 in 23 g · 1 per 6.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 37 | 43 | 23 in 23 g · 1 per 3.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 37 | 43 | 25 in 23 g · 1 per 3.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 37 | 43 | 33 in 23 g · 1 per 2.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 37 | 43 | 36 in 23 g · 1 per 2.5 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 138 | 161 | 62 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 138 | 161 | 87 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 138 | 161 | 112 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 138 | 161 | 124 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 4 | 5 | 46 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 4 | 5 | 76 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 4 | 5 | 96 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 4 | 5 | 126 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 33 | 38 | 17 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 33 | 38 | 27 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 33 | 38 | 34 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 80 | 93 | 45 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 80 | 93 | 70 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 80 | 93 | 95 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 80 | 93 | 111 in 23 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
67%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 60.760 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 55.070 after regressing toward the league's 30.360 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 41.6, against a straight team-game pace of 43. Exact beta-binomial over 101 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
61.4%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.4%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=264); median finish 40. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals | L 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .254 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants | L 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .256 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colorado Rockies | W 3-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .258 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies | W 2-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .259 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colorado Rockies | W 6-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .258 |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 1-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .259 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 6-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .260 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | W 4-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .260 |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers | W 4-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .258 |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers | L 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .260 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Matt Olson's walk-off single 2026-08-30 · Matt Olson's walk-off single in the 10th beat the Rockies 3-2
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Matt Olson's go-ahead three-run homer (36)2026-08-16 · Matt Olson's tiebreaking home run in the 7th put the Braves ahead for good in a 5-3 win over the Diamondbacks
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Matt Olson's walk-off homer (9) 2026-04-29 ·
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 139 team games; 59 in 2001