Historic Chases · 2026-04-24 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-24

No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Nathaniel Lowe hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 15 ▶︎ watch; Matt McLain hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 26 ▶︎ watch.

Yordan Alvarez has 76 total bases — projecting to 456, 0 behind Babe Ruth's 457 pace. Needs 274 more to reach 350.

Yordan Alvarez sits at .357 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

The so-what: Oneil Cruz is on a 50/50 pace — 8 HR and 10 SB, projecting to 50/62. Only Shohei Ohtani has ever done it, 54/59 in 2024. Neither half carries it alone; the season has to finish on both.

History movers: Yordan Alvarez — Triple Crown (MLB) · Sal Stewart — Franchise RBI: 24 now, pace 149.5, record 149 (George Foster, 1977).

Lines of the night: Paul Skenes took a PERFECT GAME into the 7th — broken up by a single ▶︎ watch; The Cincinnati Reds came back from 5 runs down to win 9-8, and the Detroit Tigers blew a 5-run lead; Taylor Ward — a bench bat with 26 games played — went a perfect 4-for-4; Konnor Griffin hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 20 ▶︎ watch.

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

01

MUST TRACK: Oneil Cruz is on a 50/50 pace — 8 HR / 10 SB, projecting to 50/62. Only one player has ever done it — Shohei Ohtani's 54/59 in 2024. Every game matters from here.

02

Streak ladder: the Cubs have won 10 straight — 10 shy of the 2002 Moneyball A's (20); 12 shy of the 2017 Indians (modern record) (22).

03

Streak ladder: the Phillies have lost 10 straight — 11 shy of the 2024 White Sox (AL record) (21); 13 shy of the 1961 Phillies (modern record) (23).

04

On this date in 1917, George Mogridge of the Yankees threw a no-hitter.

05

30/30 watch: Oneil Cruz sits at 8 HR / 10 SB — 22 homers and 20 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 50/62.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons

Yordan Alvarez has 11 home runs through 27 team games, 2 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (13). Comparable chases finished with a median of 36 (95% CI 34-38); 7.6% reached 50 (4.8-11.6% at 95% confidence), from 238 comparable seasons.

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play
If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Taylor Ward finishes at the current projection of 81, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 215 hits, set by Vernon Wells in 2003. Ernie Clement projects to 214 and would finish 1 short.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Only X seasons ever

Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025
Closest to .400
.357AVG
8 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
LONG SHOT
Home Run Leader
11HR
66 projected HR · 2 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
35H
210 projected H · 9 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
11SB
66 projected SB · 11 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
132B
81 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
43B
26 projected 3B · 2 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.357· 11 HR · 26 RBI
Leads all three league ranks — full board on the Watch page
ACHIEVED
30/30 Club Pace
8/10HR/SB
50/62 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Braves
19W
114 projected wins · record 116
NEAR PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+64
+384 projected run differential