Jake McCarthy hit a LEADOFF INSIDE-THE-PARK home run — a LEADOFF inside-the-park homer — years pass between them.
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Kyle Schwarber has struck out 144 times, projecting to 240. Mark Reynolds' record is 223. That pace would be the most strikeouts in any season since 1901. But he's doing damage too: he leads MLB in home runs (32) — one every 10.9 at-bats. The strikeouts are the price of the power.
The AL Central is a coin flip: Guardians (51-46) lead Sox by 0. The closest completed season is Mark Trumbo in 2016 (78% similarity). The match is strongest in runs, speed, average; the largest difference is power. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish..
HISTORY LAST NIGHT: Jake McCarthy hit a LEADOFF INSIDE-THE-PARK home run — a LEADOFF inside-the-park homer — years pass between them — his 2nd of the season, the most in baseball.
Lines of the night: Abimelec Ortiz made his MLB DEBUT and went 1-for-2; Jake McCarthy hit an INSIDE-THE-PARK home run — a half-dozen or so happen a season — his 2nd of the season, the most in baseball.
The so-what: through 97 team games, Kyle Schwarber sits 12 HR behind Bonds' 73-homer pace (44 at this point). That's the number that decides whether this season becomes a chase or a footnote.
Batter Strikeouts
NEGATIVE HISTORY
Kyle SchwarberPHI
Kyle Schwarber is on pace for 240 strikeouts
Kyle Schwarber has struck out 144 times, projecting to 240. Mark Reynolds' record is 223. That pace would be the most strikeouts in any season since 1901. But he's doing damage too: he leads MLB in home runs (32) — one every 10.9 at-bats. The strikeouts are the price of the power.
Mark Reynolds struck out 223 times in 2009, a mark that has survived the highest-strikeout era in history.
98History score
- Current
- 144
- Projected
- 240
- Record
- 223 Mark Reynolds · 2009
Fastest Pitch89
Misiorowski, Jacob
Record 105.8 · Aroldis Chapman
Misiorowski, Jacob's 105.5 mph 4-Seam Fastball on 2026-06-26 is the fastest pitch of 2026.
Runs81
James WoodWSH
149 projectedRecord 177 · Babe Ruth
Needs 31 more to reach 120.
Triple Crown (AL)80
Yordan AlvarezHOU
Yordan Alvarez ranks 2/1/1 in the AL in AVG/HR/RBI.
Team Wins79
DodgersLAD
102 projectedRecord 116 · 1906 Cubs / 2001 Mariners
39 wins from a 100-win season.
Home Runs78
Kyle SchwarberPHI
53 projectedRecord 73 · Barry Bonds
Needs 18 more to reach 50.
Saves78
Cade SmithCLE
47 projectedRecord 62 · Francisco Rodriguez
22 from a 50-save season.
Longest Ball78
Drake Baldwin
A 473-foot home run on 2026-06-16 — the longest ball of the season.
Hardest-Hit Ball78
Oneil Cruz
Record 122.4 · Giancarlo Stanton
A 119.0 mph double on 2026-04-16 — Stanton's tracked record is 122.4.
Pace through history
A
Kyle Schwarber versus the great home-run seasons
Kyle Schwarber has 32 home runs through 97 team games, 10 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (42). Comparable chases finished with a median of 46; 27.9% reached 50 and 3.5% reached 60 (n=86).
Historical season twin
A
Whose season does Kyle Schwarber resemble?
The closest completed season is Mark Trumbo in 2016 (78% similarity). The match is strongest in runs, speed, average; the largest difference is power. This is a comparison, not a forecast of how the season must finish.
If the pace holds
A
A projected top-1 season
If Kyle Schwarber finishes at the current projection of 240, it would rank No. 1 among the stored historical seasons for batter strikeouts. Only 0 seasons in the configured cohort finished higher.
Franchise pressure
A
A franchise record is under pressure
The WSH single-season record is 46 home runs, set by Alfonso Soriano in 2006. James Wood projects to 47 and projects to clear it by 1.
Tonight's stakes
What to watch today
The stat at stake: Otto Lopez carries a .334 average into today. A .400 finish would take roughly a .498 clip the rest of the way (127-for-255) — extreme territory, but every multi-hit day moves the math, and every 0-for-4 costs about two points.
Tightest race: the AL Central — Guardians (51-46) lead Sox (50-45) by 0.
Year-over-year: the Sox are 50-45 — 18 wins ahead of where they stood on this date last season (32-64).
30/30 watch: Pete Crow-Armstrong sits at 21 HR / 24 SB — 9 homers short and 6 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 35/40.
How to read the site
The chase, in plain English
Otto Lopez leads MLB at .334, but .400 is still a mountain. He would need 42 straight hits to get there today, or roughly a .498 average the rest of the way (127-for-255) to finish at .400.
Every chase gets a 0–100 History Score against the record book, allowing home-run pace, streaks, Statcast extremes, and even negative history to share one radar.